Nueva Concepción vs Escuintla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
NUE
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
SOL
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
REU
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 2
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ROS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
ESC
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SLC
2 - 0
ESC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
IZT
1 - 0
ESC
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |