Nueva Concepción vs Escuintla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUE
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 0
SIQ
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 0
IZT
49%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIQ
3 - 1
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SLC
1 - 0
NUE
42%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
REU
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
IZT
1 - 2
ESC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 0
ESC
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
REU
0 - 0
ESC
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |