Nueva Concepción vs Deportivo Reu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
NUE
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VEN
3 - 1
NUE
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOL
3 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 0
ROS
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Reu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
REU
2 - 0
SOL
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ROS
0 - 1
REU
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
REU
1 - 0
SPD
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
REU
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
REU
2 - 0
SLC
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |