Nueva Concepción vs Deportivo Reu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
DEP
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Reu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
REU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
REU
2 - 0
SPD
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SIQ
2 - 3
REU
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
REU
1 - 0
ROS
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |