Nueva Concepción vs Deportivo Jocotán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 0
DSA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DSA
3 - 1
NUE
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
HER
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 2
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
HAL
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
DEP
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
DSA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |