Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REU
5 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
ESC
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NUE
1 - 4
SLC
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 3
IZT
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
SLC
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
IZT
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
DEP
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
8 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |