Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 1
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 0
DSA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPD
3 - 1
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
SIQ
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
HAL
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IZT
2 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |