Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
NUE
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
SAY
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
NUE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
HAL
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUE
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
NUE
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
COM
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |