Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
HUE
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 3
NUE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
NUE
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 0
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
HAL
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 3
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |