Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AYU
2 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 3
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 1
HUE
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
DEP
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 0
DEP
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
AUR
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
SPD
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |