Guatemala First Division - Clausura Last 16
Global 1-2
Nueva Concepción vs Deportivo Barberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
DBC
0 - 0
NUE
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SPD
3 - 0
NUE
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NUE
3 - 1
SJF
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Barberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
DBC
0 - 0
NUE
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DBC
2 - 0
CON
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
4 - 0
DBC
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DBC
1 - 1
ZAC
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
DBC
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |