Nueva Concepción vs Democracia FC. analysis

Nueva Concepción Democracia FC.
49 ELO 48
-1.3% Tilt 4.1%
20566º General ELO ranking 50592º
28º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
42.6%
Nueva Concepción
23.9%
Draw
33.6%
Democracia FC.

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Nueva Concepción
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.6%
Win probability
Democracia FC.
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nueva Concepción
+17%
+7%
Democracia FC.

Points and table prediction

Nueva Concepción
Their league position
Democracia FC.
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
16º
16º
23
10º
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mictlán
34
37
100%
Cotzumalguapa
30
31
23%
Aurora FC
30
31
14.5%
CD San Pedro
28
31
25.5%
Suchitepequez
30
31
0%
Iztapa
25
28
30%
San Benito CF
26
27
10.5%
CSD Chiquimulilla
26
27
13.5%
FC La Libertad
26
26
30%
Coatepeque
13º
23
26
10º
19%
Democracia FC.
14º
23
26
11º
7%
Sacachispas
10º
24
25
12º
10.5%
Universidad San Carlos
11º
24
25
13º
14.5%
Quiché
12º
23
24
14º
30%
AF Guatemala
16º
22
23
15º
27%
Nueva Concepción
15º
22
22
16º
73.5%
Juventud Copalera
17º
18
18
17º
92.5%
Pajapita FC
18º
15
15
18º
92.5%
Gualan FC
19º
11
11
19º
100%
Deportivo Barberena
20º
7
8
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nueva Concepción
Democracia FC.
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nueva Concepción
Democracia FC.
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nueva Concepción
Nueva Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2024
IZT
Iztapa
4 - 1
Nueva Concepción
NUE
72%
17%
12%
49 57 8 0
08 Sep. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 2
Juventud Copalera
DJC
46%
24%
30%
49 48 1 0
01 Sep. 2024
VEN
Suchitepequez
0 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
68%
19%
13%
48 58 10 +1
25 Aug. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
2 - 0
FC La Libertad
FCL
74%
16%
10%
48 24 24 0
21 Aug. 2024
COA
Coatepeque
1 - 2
Nueva Concepción
NUE
56%
23%
21%
47 56 9 +1

Matches

Democracia FC.
Democracia FC.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2024
DJC
Juventud Copalera
0 - 3
Democracia FC.
DFC
45%
24%
31%
48 48 0 0
08 Sep. 2024
DFC
Democracia FC.
0 - 3
Suchitepequez
VEN
34%
25%
41%
49 58 9 -1
31 Aug. 2024
FCL
FC La Libertad
0 - 1
Democracia FC.
DFC
18%
21%
61%
49 24 25 0
25 Aug. 2024
DFC
Democracia FC.
2 - 1
Coatepeque
COA
34%
25%
41%
48 56 8 +1
21 Aug. 2024
PFC
Pajapita FC
0 - 0
Democracia FC.
DFC
12%
16%
73%
48 22 26 0