Nueva Concepción vs Comunicaciones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SOL
3 - 0
NUE
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 0
CHI
21%
27%
53%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
SOL
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
COM
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IZT
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |