Guatemala First Division Apertura Last 16
Global 2-1
Nueva Concepción vs Comunicaciones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
NUE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NUE
3 - 2
CAT
43%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
NUE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 0
NUE
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NUE
0 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comunicaciones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
NUE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DBC
2 - 1
COM
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
CON
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
COM
22%
27%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COM
2 - 0
DSA
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |