Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
ANT
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NUE
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 1
COA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 0
COA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COA
2 - 1
SAC
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |