Primera Apertura Final
Global 4-2
Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
ANT
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NUE
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 0
ZAC
24%
25%
50%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NUE
4 - 0
SPD
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 0
COA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COA
2 - 1
SAC
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAC
0 - 0
COA
51%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
IZT
3 - 2
COA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |