Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 0
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
XIN
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
MIX
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPD
1 - 0
COA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 0
COA
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COA
4 - 0
IZT
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
LAG
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |