Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
9 - 1
NUE
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SPD
2 - 2
COA
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 2
COA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COA
2 - 1
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |