Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
NUE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 2
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 1
SPD
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 2
NUE
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COA
2 - 1
MIX
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
COA
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 0
COA
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
COA
1 - 0
IZT
39%
26%
36%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |