Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 2
ESC
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 0
TOR
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COA
4 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 2
COA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
COA
2 - 1
IZT
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COA
3 - 0
ANT
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |