Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Nueva Concepción vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
MIX
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
NUE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TEC
0 - 4
CAR
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COB
1 - 3
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZAC
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |