Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
REU
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
NUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
SLC
22%
28%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
SOL
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
ESC
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |