Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
NUE
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 2
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
SLC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SLC
1 - 1
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROS
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
SLC
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROS
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |