Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SIQ
3 - 0
NUE
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
SPD
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
REU
3 - 2
NUE
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ROS
4 - 0
NUE
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
REU
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
IZT
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ROS
2 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
SLC
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |