Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPD
8 - 0
NUE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 1
SIQ
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 1
SLC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ROS
4 - 1
NUE
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
IZT
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
SLC
39%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REU
2 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEP
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SPD
2 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |