Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
SLC
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
NUE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NUE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 2
HAL
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
3 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HAL
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IZT
2 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |