Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 1
NUE
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
HUE
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 2
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
56%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HUE
5 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
PUE
45%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AYU
3 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |