Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
NUE
33%
24%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 3
NUE
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPD
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
HUE
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
IZT
2 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |