Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 2
NUE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
35%
24%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPD
1 - 0
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NUE
4 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
SPD
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |