Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
AYU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AYU
0 - 0
IZT
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AYU
4 - 2
DEP
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
AYU
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
AYU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |