Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
NUE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
IZT
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SPD
3 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 0
AYU
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
AYU
2 - 0
SPD
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
AYU
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AYU
0 - 4
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |