Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 1
NUE
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 0
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
NUE
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
AYU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 1
HUE
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 0
PUE
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPD
4 - 1
AYU
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |