Nueva Concepción vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RET
0 - 1
NUE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IZT
4 - 2
NUE
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 2
LAG
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AYU
3 - 1
IZT
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
AYU
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AYU
1 - 3
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
4 - 1
AYU
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AYU
1 - 0
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |