Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SPD
2 - 1
NUE
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
REU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
ROS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUR
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
SAY
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COM
2 - 4
AUR
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |