Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COM
8 - 1
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
PUE
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
AYU
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
NUE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
DEP
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SPD
0 - 2
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
26%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
1 - 1
AUR
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |