Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
5 - 0
HUE
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 3
NUE
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
PUE
50%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
AYU
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPD
1 - 0
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 2
AUR
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |