Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LAG
3 - 0
NUE
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COA
3 - 1
NUE
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 1
NUE
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 1
AYU
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
SPD
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AYU
1 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
ANT
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
IZT
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |