Nueva Concepción vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 2
COM
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SOL
3 - 0
NUE
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
4 - 0
SOL
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
ANT
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
4 - 2
IZT
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |