Nueva Ciudad vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Ciudad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDV
2 - 0
NUE
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 1
VAL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
NUE
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 0
CDS
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CRE
4 - 1
NUE
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDF
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
CAL
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 0
PUE
33%
27%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 1
CAL
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 0
CAL
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |