Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DAL
3 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
AGR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 1
GIM
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PLA
3 - 0
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
TEM
17%
27%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
DEF
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAR
13%
25%
62%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 2
DEF
70%
21%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |