Nueva Chicago vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
UAI
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
CHI
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
ARM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
CHI
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
52%
28%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
FLA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |