Nueva Cádiz U20 vs Lanceros U20 analysis


38	ELO	30
-0.9%	Tilt	1.2%
36054º	General ELO ranking	36057º
145º	Country ELO ranking	148º
ELO win probability

61.7%

Nueva Cádiz U20

19.2%

Draw

19.1%

Lanceros U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

61.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%

19.2%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

19.2%

19.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nueva Cádiz U20

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Apr. 2016	CVI 1 - 3 NUC 34% 22% 44%	37	30	7	0
10 Apr. 2016	NUC 2 - 0 DAN 29% 24% 47%	35	44	9	+2
02 Apr. 2016	TIL 4 - 1 NUC 37% 23% 41%	38	32	6	-3

Matches

Lanceros U20

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
16 Apr. 2016	LAN 1 - 1 TIL 50% 22% 29%	33	33	0
09 Apr. 2016	REA 1 - 2 LAN 41% 22% 36%	33	29	4
02 Apr. 2016	LAN 2 - 2 DAN 24% 23% 53%	33	45	12