CF La Nucía vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NUC
3 - 0
THA
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 2
NUC
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NUC
1 - 2
ELD
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
JOV
2 - 2
NUC
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 1
NUC
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAT
52%
26%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PEG
0 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
OND
1 - 0
NOV
29%
29%
41%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |