Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 1
IQU
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DSC
3 - 2
NUB
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
NUB
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
EVE
1 - 2
NUB
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
DSC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 1
CUR
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
2 - 1
MAG
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |