Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
NUB
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UCH
5 - 0
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 0
ULC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
COB
3 - 1
NUB
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NUB
1 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 3
EVE
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |