Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SWA
2 - 2
NUB
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NUB
3 - 1
CSL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
OHI
2 - 2
NUB
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NUB
1 - 4
UCO
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
NUB
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 0
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |