Ñublense vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
NUB
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NUB
1 - 2
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NUB
3 - 1
DLI
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
DLS
0 - 0
NUB
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
NUB
0 - 1
CSD
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
MAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ANT
2 - 0
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 5
CDM
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
IQU
2 - 3
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |