Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
CUR
5 - 2
NUB
12%
19%
69%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 5
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 1
NUB
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUB
0 - 2
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUB
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
CUR
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
ULC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
ANT
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |