Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
0 - 1
NUB
19%
23%
59%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
NUB
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
NUB
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 0
NTA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
0 - 2
UCO
12%
19%
69%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
NTA
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
NUB
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
COL
0 - 3
UCO
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |