Ñublense vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 2
CSD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
NUB
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 2
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CUR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
CUR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 2
CSD
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |